Publications

Recent publications by the author of Asia Conflict Watch:

Communists Crumbling in the Philippines

26 May 2023, Asia Sentinel

Thailand’s Opposition Will Need More Than Votes to Win Upcoming Elections

28 April 2023, World Politics Review

Two Years On, Myanmar’s Junta Refuses to Loosen Its Grip

6 February 2023, Asia Sentinel

End Near for Mindanao’s Islamist Militants?

27 January 2023, Asia Sentinel

Gauging the Strength of Myanmar’s Armed Resistance

17 December 2022, Asia Sentinel

In Malaysia, Anwar’s ‘Unity Government’ Is Anything But

5 December 2022, World Politics Review

Armed Conflict Survey 2022 Chapter 5: Asia (Philippines)

November 2022, International Institute for Strategic Studies

Armed Conflict Survey 2022 Chapter 5: Asia (Thailand)

November 2022, International Institute for Strategic Studies

Abu Sayyaf Under Rising Pressure in Asia’s Backwater

28 June 2022, Asia Sentinel

Despite Recent Attacks, Southern Thailand’s Peace Talks Are Making Progress

21 June 2022, World Politics Review

The Philippines’ Maoist Rebellion Outlasts Duterte

20 April 2022, Asia Sentinel

Malaysia’s ‘Politics as Usual’ Is Hollowing Out Its Democracy

16 March 2022, World Politics Review

The Limits of Hydropower in Laos

20 February 2022, Geopolitical Monitor

Business as Usual Won’t End Malaysia’s Political Paralysis

14 January 2022, World Politics Review

Cambodia Naval Base Gets a Chinese Upgrade

17 December 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Delayed Elections and the Philippines’ Bangsamoro Peace Process

3 December 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Ismail Sabri Yaakob: New Prime Minister, Familiar Challenges in Malaysia

11 October 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

How Militarization and Cycles of Violence Fuel Separatism in Southern Thailand

30 September 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

China’s Belt and Road Runs Aground in the Philippines

23 September 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Armed Conflict Survey 2021 Chapter 5: Asia-Pacific (Philippines)

September 2021, International Institute for Strategic Studies

COVID-19 Rages as Myanmar’s Post-Coup Economy Crumbles

30 August 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Can China’s Belt and Road Open Up Landlocked Laos?

30 July 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Amid Renewed Protests, Thai Opposition Pushes for Constitutional Change

21 July 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Papua Braced for Violence as Indonesia Vows to Crush Separatists

29 June 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

New Party, Old Hurdles: Cambodian Opposition Struggles to Bounce Back

9 June 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

The Southern Philippines’ Post-Conflict Transition Is on Track, but Behind Schedule

28 May 2021, World Politics Review

Duterte’s ‘Red-Tagging’ Risks Igniting the Philippines’ Maoist Insurgency

26 May 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

ASEAN Diplomacy Makes Little Headway in Myanmar

20 May 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

From Bangkok to Nong Khai: China’s Thai Railway Vision Edges Forward

26 April 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Will the Makassar Suicide Bombing Spark a New Wave of Terror in Indonesia?

13 April 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

US-Philippine Alliance: Duterte Demands US ‘Pay’ to Salvage Troop Deal

5 April 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Election Talk Heats Up in Malaysia

17 March 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Can a New Generation of Leaders Tackle Laos’ Debt Woes?

8 March 2021, World Politics Review

Tatmadaw Coup Leaves Myanmar’s Peace Process on a Precipice

1 March 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Striking Oil Is No Antidote for What Ails Cambodia’s COVID-hit Economy

19 February 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

Is China’s Belt and Road Initiative Going Under the Radar in Indonesia?

27 January 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

In Thailand’s Deep South, COVID-19 Leaves Peace Talks with the BRN On Hold

19 January 2021, Geopolitical Monitor

What the NLD Election Victory Means for Myanmar’s Civilian-Military Divide

3 December 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Vietnam Economy Well Positioned for Post-COVID Surge

10 November 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Family Ties and New Recruits: Abu Sayyaf Proves Hard to Dislodge in the Philippines

2 November 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

COVID-19 Pushes Laos Further into China’s Economic Orbit

23 October 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Singapore Charts a Middle Path Amid Worsening US-China Ties

21 October 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

East Coast Rail Link: Full Steam Ahead for China’s Belt and Road in Malaysia

6 October 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Having Crushed the Opposition, Cambodia’s Hun Sen Mulls a Dynasty

1 October 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Thailand’s Student Protestors Take On Military and the Monarchy

14 September 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Beyond the Narrative of Progress in Myanmar’s Panglong Peace Initiative

8 September 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Unscathed by COVID-19, Laos Gambles on Mega-projects to Revive Its Economy

19 August 2020, World Politics Review

Vietnam Just Paid Saigon’s War Debt. Time for America to Pay Its Own?

12 August 2020, Asia Sentinel

In the Southern Philippines, Delays to Rebuilding Marawi Threaten a Fragile Peace

29 June 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

COVID-19 Is Just the Latest Setback in Myanmar’s Troubled Peace Process

8 June 2020, World Politics Review

In Laos, survivors of US bombs rebuild their lives – and limbs

28 May 2020, Southeast Asia Globe

Armed Conflict Survey 2020 Chapter 2: Asia-Pacific (Philippines)

27 May 2020, International Institute for Strategic Studies

Piracy Resurges in Southeast Asia’s Crowded Sea Lanes

4 May 2020, Asia Sentinel

Philippines’ Abu Sayyaf Terrorists Turn to Suicide Bombing

24 April 2020, Asia Sentinel

Why Indonesia’s Papua Insurgency Has Reached a Strategic Stalemate

15 April 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Can a Renewed Push to End Separatist Violence in Thailand Succeed?

7 April 2020, World Politics Review

After Duterte Scraps VFA, What’s Next for the US-Philippine Alliance?

5 March 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Fractious Party Politics Threatens to Upend a Succession Plan in Malaysia

7 February 2020, World Politics Review

Duterte’s Peace Overture to the NPA: Another False Dawn?

27 January 2020, Geopolitical Monitor

Lasting Peace in Indonesia’s Aceh Province Depends on Truth and Reconciliation

6 January 2020, World Politics Review

The Evolving Threat of ISIS in the Philippines

2 December 2019, Geopolitical Monitor

Myanmar’s Divided Peace Process: Hope amid Escalating Violence?

1 October 2019, Geopolitical Monitor

Will an End to Military Rule Revive Peace Talks in Southern Thailand?

23 August 2019, World Politics Review

Breaking the Vicious Cycle of Landmines and Instability in Myanmar

12 August 2019, Geopolitical Monitor

Abu Sayyaf Is Bringing More of ISIS’ Brutal Tactics to the Philippines

22 July 2019, World Politics Review

Is India’s Nagaland Peace Process Nearing a Breakthrough?

8 July 2019, Geopolitical Monitor

Deciphering the Jihadist Threat to Mindanao’s Moro Peace Process

20 May 2019, International Institute for Strategic Studies

Armed Conflict Survey 2019 Chapter 2: Asia-Pacific (Philippines)

15 May 2019, International Institute for Strategic Studies

Is Malaysia ISIS’ Next Southeast Asian Hub?

6 May 2019, Asia Sentinel

Violence Flares Amid Myanmar’s Faltering Peace Dialogue

22 April 2019, Asia Sentinel

Tensions Flare Over Malaysia’s Disputed Sea Border with Singapore

17 April 2019, Geopolitical Monitor

Collapsed Talks Lead Philippines to Seek New Approach with NPA

10 April 2019, Asia Sentinel

Vietnam’s Struggle to Overcome the Legacy of US Bombs

25 March 2019, Geopolitical Monitor

Southern Thailand’s Fractured Peace Process at a Crossroads

15 February 2019, Geopolitical Monitor

With Autonomy in the Southern Philippines, Muslim Rebels Must Learn How to Govern

12 February 2019, World Politics Review

Myanmar’s Peace Process on Life Support

27 December 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

Mahathir Positions Malaysia as a Check on China’s Ambitions in Southeast Asia

8 November 2018, World Politics Review

What Underlies the Long-Running Dispute in the South China Sea?

3 November 2018, Eurasia Review

A Year After Marawi, What’s Left of ISIS in the Philippines?

25 October 2018, The Diplomat

Thailand’s Balancing Act Between the US and China in the Age of Trump

10 October 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

Is Abu Sayyaf Making a Comeback in the Philippines?

6 September 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

Is Duterte’s Green Light for Autonomy in the Southern Philippines a Path to Peace?

20 August 2018, World Politics Review

Has the Islamic State Threat Bypassed India?

3 August 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

Armed Conflict Survey 2018 Chapter 6: Asia-Pacific (Philippines)

3 July 2018, International Institute for Strategic Studies

The Post-Marawi Decline of Abu Sayyaf

29 June 2018, Asia Sentinel

Mindanao’s Insurgencies Take an Explosive Turn

1 June 2018, The Diplomat

Myanmar’s Ethnic Conflicts Have Multiple Fronts, and High Barriers to Peace

24 May 2018, World Politics Review

Cambodia-Laos Border Dispute: Geopolitical Flashpoint or Playing Politics?

14 May 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

Winners and Losers in the Maritime Border Deal between Australia and Timor-Leste

30 April 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

Indonesia’s Homegrown Militants Re-emerge

24 April 2018, Asia Sentinel

Brunei Abandons South China Sea Claim for Chinese Finance

3 April 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

Marawi’s Embattled Former Residents Face a Tortuous Path Home

11 March 2018, Eurasia Review

Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters Assume ISIS’ Mantle in the Philippines’ Troubled South

12 February 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

How Marawi Pushed ASEAN Nations to Join Forces Against Terrorism

12 February 2018, Asian Correspondent

Eastern Sabah: Malaysia’s Frontline Against Militancy

31 January 2018, The Diplomat

Laos Pushes Ahead with Mekong Dams Despite Environmental Risks

24 January 2018, Asian Correspondent

How Prepared is Singapore Amid Southeast Asia’s Raised Terror Threat?

3 January 2018, Asian Correspondent

Malaysia’s Counter-Terrorism Strategy: Keeping ISIS in Check

2 January 2018, Geopolitical Monitor

China’s Influence Steadily Grows in Laos, Weathering Political Change

20 December 2017, World Politics Review

The Long Road to Justice for Sri Lanka’s Civil War Victims

4 December 2017, Geopolitical Monitor

Can Cambodia Meet Its Target to Remove Landmines by 2025?

4 December 2017, Asian Correspondent

Vietnam’s Bomb Clearance Efforts Take a Hit Under President Trump

30 November 2017, Asian Correspondent

Maute Jihadis Vanquished, Duterte Takes On Mindanao’s Other Militants

29 November 2017, Asia Sentinel

Is Abu Sayyaf Really Defeated?

23 November 2017, The Diplomat

Gauging the Success of Bangladesh’s Anti-Terror Crackdown

17 November 2017, Geopolitical Monitor

What Has Derailed Peace Talks with the Philippines’ Communist Rebels?

13 October 2017, Asian Correspondent 

Indonesia Faced with a Resurgence of Islamist Terrorism

27 September 2017, Geopolitical Monitor

Will the Siege of Marawi Be Repeated in the Philippines?

22 September 2017, Geopolitical Monitor

Indonesia Needs to be Vigilant to Avoid Becoming a Home for Terrorists Again

18 September 2017, Asian Correspondent 

Balochistan: Seven Decades of Insurgency in Pakistan’s Restive South

4 September 2017, Eurasia Review

Japan’s Maritime Diplomacy Mission in Southeast Asia

28 August 2017, The Japan Times

As Khmer Rouge Trials Near End, Is Cambodia Ready to Move On from its Dark Past?

23 August 2017, Asian Correspondent 

Rising Violence in Thailand’s ‘Deep South’ Exposes Cracks in the Junta’s Strategy

1 August 2017, World Politics Review

Mindanao Conflict Risks Spike in Southeast Asia Piracy

27 July 2017, Geopolitical Monitor

Dokdo-Takeshima Islands: South Korea and Japan’s Intractable Maritime Dispute

21 July 2017, Eurasia Review

Laos: Decades After America’s ‘Secret War’, Unexploded Bombs Still Hinder Development 

18 July 2017, Asian Correspondent

Japan’s Nuclear Dilemma: The Search for Energy Security Post-Fukushima 

11 April 2017, Asian Correspondent 

Despite His Tough Talk, the Philippines’ Duterte Faces Long Odds Against Abu Sayyaf 

2 February 2017, World Politics Review

An Economic Success Story: How Vietnam Became Southeast Asia’s Top Performer 

31 January 2017, Asian Correspondent

Is Myanmar on the Path to Genocide? 

18 January 2017, The Diplomat

Myanmar: Ground Zero for China-India Energy Competiton 

31 October 2016, Geopolitical Monitor

Japan Stands Firm on Senkaku Islands in East China Sea 

16 September 2016, Geopolitical Monitor

Central Asia’s Oil and Gas Now Flows to the East 

18 August 2016, The Diplomat

East Asia’s State-led Search for Energy Security

23 July 2016, The Diplomat

China’s Maritime Diplomacy Leaves ASEAN Divided on the South China Sea 

18 July 2016, International Policy Digest

US-Vietnam Rapprochement Fast-Tracked Amid South China Sea Dispute 

18 May 2016, Geopolitical Monitor

Myanmar: Challenges Ahead as New Parliament Begins Work 

3 March 2016, Geopolitical Monitor